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Epidemiologists Consider How Social Media Could be Harnessed to
Predict Disease Outbreaks
Epidemiologists converged on Feb.16 at the 2012
International Conference on Digital Disease
Detection at Harvard Medical School in Boston,
Massachusetts. On the agenda is informal media-like
Twitter, blog posts, and web searches-and how these
could be applied to identify, track, and predict
disease outbreaks. The meeting is sponsored by the
CDC and Health Map, and run by a team of researchers
at Children's Hospital Boston, which mines online
data to identify and track disease outbreaks.
Although informal media is already being utilized by
researchers, such as Twitter to track cholera
outbreaks in Haiti, not everyone is ready to
incorporate it into their surveillance. Informal
data's reliability is yet untested, Andrea Dugas of
Johns Hopkins Hospital in Baltimore told Nature.
Informal data have also not been shown to help
predict outbreaks, added Richard Rothman, an
emergency-medicine physician at the Johns Hopkins
School of Medicine who co-authored with Dugas a
paper correlating influenza-related web searches
with a spike in emergency room visits for the
illness. Other researchers are concerned with
sifting through the sea of possible data to find the
pertinent information.
In the meantime, researchers caution that new ways
to predict outbreaks will mean little if access
health care lags. "Awareness of outbreaks doesn't
necessarily change the pace or extent of
intervention," David Fisman, an epidemiologist at
the Dalla Lana School of Public Health at the
University of Toronto in Canada told Nature.
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